Southeast Asia: Globe 사이트 ASEAN관련 기사들 (최근순)

1. 32nd Asean Summit Success or failure: two experts debate the impact of Asean 

[요약] 여기서 말하는 성공/실패는 아세안 전체 조직을 이야기 하는 게 아니라, 각각 크게는 경제 / 언론 자유라는 틀에서 성공 실패를 이야기하므로, 아세안의 다면성을 보여준다고 할 수 있다. 경제는 성장하지만, 민주주의의 희생을 바탕으로 하는 경제 발전은 결국 한국처럼 상상력과 창조력의 빈곤을 낳기 떄문에, 그 경제력역시 지속가능하지 못한 것일텐데.

마침 지난 학기 미술/문화계 검열 정책 관련 리서치를 나름 한 터라, 두번째 기자의 말이 이해가 갔다.

당시 문화 검여 정책을 찾는데 검열과 관련해서는 대다수가 언론에 관한 이야기였고,

그나마 타이도! 역행하고 있다며 전반적인 언론자유에 있어 퇴행적 면모를 보이고 있는게

오늘날 아세안 국가들이구나. 라고 이해했던거 같다.

Posted on: April 18, 2018 | Current Affairs

http://sea-globe.com/has-asean-been-a-success-or-a-failure/

* Ahead of next week’s 32nd Asean Summit, we asked two passionate voices from either side of the divide to argue the case for and against the Asean bloc being considered a success (이 문장 좋다!)

In the five decades since its founding in 1967, Asean has played an instrumental role in bringing peace, stability and prosperity to an erstwhile strife-ridden region. Through the ‘Asean Way’, based on “compromise, consensus and consultation”, its members have cultivated respect for the very differences that once threatened to tear them apart.

c.f. Singapore’s third and current Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong. Singapore is the 2018 chair of Asean

근거1: This ‘way’ has enabled the organisation to make extraordinary geopolitical achievements

 1) Asean today embraces two communist countries – Vietnam and Laos : 여전히 공산주의 국가

 2)  Myanmar 군사독재 정권 --> hybrid regime / popular investment destination.

 3) 추가 보충 Singapore’s Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong described Asean as a

 “lifeboat for all ten countries in Southeast Asia to come together, to work together, to have our voice heard on the world stage…”

근거2: The Asean Regional Forum is a neutral and conciliatory setting for disputing nations to meet without losing face. It is also the only multilateral platform that includes North Korea.

1) 경제적 유용성: Asean’s collective economic clout have also yielded greater prosperity for the member states. Asean’s collective GDP of $2.56 trillion makes it the 6th-largest economy in the world. Total merchandise trade grew from $10 billion in 1967 to $2.2 trillion in 2016. 

2) Asean Economic Community has drastically reduced trade barriers without subjecting less-developed member states to sudden shocks.

근거3: Economic growth has also led to a corresponding improvement in living standards. 

1) GDP per capita increased by 3.5 times from $1,135 in 1999 – when Cambodia, the tenth and final member joined – to $4,021 in 2016. Poverty in Asean fell from 47% in 1990 to 14% in 2015 – far surpassing the region’s Millennium Development Goals target.

근거4: Asean’s future looks bright as its booming middle class is projected to reach a population of 500 million in 2030.

1) The region is poised to reap rich demographic dividends as 68% of its population is expected to be of age by 2025. 

2) Unlike many other parts of the world, young people in Asean are optimistic about their future. A 2017 World Economic Forum survey of 24,000 Asean youths found that 69% of them expect to have better lives than their parents, while 64% said that their own career prospects were improved by being part of Asean.

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Against: Miguel Chanco is an analyst focusing on Asean in the Economist Intelligence Unit’s Asia Country Analysis team. He holds a master’s in international political economy from the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies in Singapore. 

‘Asean bashing’ is an easy sport, and one that many commentators – including yours truly – are more than happy to play each time a major problem in a member state is met with silence from the bloc. The usual talking points include the weakness of the underresourced Secretariat and how the region’s operating principles – the so-called ‘Asean Way’ – are too rigid to address the issues of the day. Even Asean’s reputation as a talk shop that could bring major rivals into the same room is in question.

These lines of criticism are still valid, but to more fairly assess how the 50-year-old institution is faring in modern times one can try to find any signs of a willingness to adapt in the face of new challenges. Unfortunately, even by this more generous standard, it is hard to make a case that Asean has seen recent success. Take a look at the past 12 months alone: the old adage of never letting a crisis go to waste simply had no resonance in what was a crisis-filled year.

For the first time since the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) started assessing the state of democracy in the world more than a decade ago, no Asean member state registered an improvement in 2017. Instead, conditions for democracy and the rule of law deteriorated, as if in unison, in an unprecedented seven member states. Of the seven countries in Asia the EIU classifies as an ‘authoritarian’ regime, four can now be found in Southeast Asia.

Apart from the occasional expression of concern and call to ensure stability, the bloc largely stood by as the political opposition and critical media outlets were silenced in Cambodia; as thousands were killed extrajudicially in the Philippines’ war on drugs; and as close to 700,000 ethnic Rohingya were forcibly displaced from their homes in Myanmar. Last year, at least two dozen individuals were convicted for advocating for democracy in Vietnam, while an ethnic minority Chinese-Christian candidate was effectively barred from Jakarta’s top post in Muslim-majority Indonesia.

I can already see the chorus of tweets flooding my feed, arguing that Asean is not even in the business of promoting democracy. They would be right – to the extent that this clearly has not been on the bloc’s to-do list in recent years. They would be wrong, however, to suggest that I have set an unfair bar for a regional grouping that is married to the principle of non-interference in domestic affairs.

The goal of establishing the Asean Political- Security Community (APSC), one of the two unloved siblings of the Asean Economic Community (AEC), promised to the people of the region a “just, democratic and harmonious environment”. It is normally easier to gauge how much the AEC has moved forward given the quantifiable nature of regional economic integration. The same isn’t true of the APSC, but history will surely remember the year gone by as more failure than success.

2. Asean-Australia Special Summit Aung San Suu Kyi visits Canberra after appealing to Australia and Asean leaders for help with Rohingya crisis

http://sea-globe.com/suu-kyi-turnbull-canberra-human-rights-concerns/ 

3. Asean-Australia Special Summit Upcoming summit shines spotlight on Australia’s complicated relationship with Asean

이미 휘청거리는 중산층(미국: 망, 한국: 망하는 중, 동남아시아: 긍정적)

http://sea-globe.com/asean-australia-special-summit-analysis/

이슈: ISIS in SEA-AUS, ECON

For the first time in history, Australia will host a summit with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean) this weekend.

1. In fact, the conflict in Marawi has already led to enhanced regional security cooperation.

c.f. PHILIPPINES PROTEST MARAWI SIEGE ANNIVERSARY

Amid growing concerns that global terror group Isis, also known as Islamic State, will seek to establish a stronghold in Southeast Asia to compensate for its heavy losses in Iraq and Syria, leaders of all but one of the Asean countries, along with the secretary general of the regional bloc, will gather in Sydney to discuss regional trade, investment and security.

2. “Given Asean is now Australia’s third largest trading partner… the economic dimensions of the meeting shouldn’t be underestimated,” he said. “And it’s not just us looking at what we can do in the Asean market, but, increasingly, what a growing middle class in Asean is going to mean for Australia.”

Australia’s two-way trade with the region now eclipses its trade with the United States and Japan, accounting for 11.5% of Australian exports and 16.1% of imports, with education-related travel and crude petroleum respectively Australia’s largest export and largest goods export to Asean, according to data from the Australian government. ????

By joining Asean, Australia would lose the ability to criticise foreign regimes for failing to uphold its professed values of democracy, human rights and the rule of law.>>가입하면 미얀마 사태 등에 대한 목소리 못높힘

 Aung San Suu Kyi, who has come under fire for her response to the persecution of the Rohingya people, an ethnic minority from Myanmar

3. Singapore kicks off the international art season by showcasing the very best of Asian contemporary art, while Timor-Leste dissolves the nation’s parliament 1.30.2018

Singapore kicks off the international art season by showcasing the very best of Asian contemporary art, while Timor-Leste dissolves the nation’s parliament...

* The sculpture ‘Kuya’ by artist Ichitaka Kamiji is on display in an exhibition at Art Stage at the Marina Bay Sands Expo in Singapore on 25 January 2018.